SAMANA "Samana Resorts 1 & 2"

Samana Developers · Dubai Production City · Dubai

SKID Score6.3 / 10

SKID Score

6.3 / 10

Proceed with caution

10-factor analysis

Proceed with caution. Several evidenced factors are weak. Strongest evidenced factor: payment plan. Weakest: entry price.

SKID warning

This project appears expensive relative to comparable transactions.

Published price
From AED 1.49M
Payment plan
Down payment 20%.
Handover
Jun 2028
Available units
1 bed · Freehold
Gross yield
4.0%
Fair value
+49.1% above market (Premium)
Risk
Medium
At handover
77% at or after handover
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Evidence-Backed Property Intelligence

What SKID discovered

3 supported findings (max 3)

Official DLD & contract evidence · Last updated 2026-10-23

Claim Classification:Verified Facts (1)Calculated Estimates (1)Potential Risks (1)
Primary TakeawayVerified FactVerified DLD Sales

Asking price is 49.1% above nearby closed sales (+AED 625/sq.ft.)

The developer asks AED 1,898/sq.ft., whereas comparable homes in Dubai Production City sold for a median of AED 1,273/sq.ft. (~AED 489,229 higher for the same area). (Verified Fact · Verified DLD Sales)

Ref: DLD Closed Sales Registry (n = 232) · Dubai Production CityLast updated: 2026-10-23
Primary Verified FindingPricing vs. Closed Sales
Verified FactVerified DLD Sales+49.1% (+AED 625/sq.ft.)

Asking price is 49.1% above nearby closed sales (+AED 625/sq.ft.)

The developer asks AED 1,898/sq.ft., whereas comparable homes in Dubai Production City sold for a median of AED 1,273/sq.ft. (~AED 489,229 higher for the same area).

Why this matters: The asking rate is 49.1% (~AED 489,229 on a 782 sq.ft. unit) above recent nearby completed homes in Dubai Production City. Because future property appreciation is never guaranteed, local secondary prices would need to rise by at least 49.1%—plus ~4%–6% in registration and resale costs—before handover just to match today's baseline.

Evidence: DLD Closed Sales Registry (n = 232) · Dubai Production CityUpdated: 2026-10-23
Finding #2Competing Supply (Potential Risk)
Potential RiskEstimate — Potential Supply Risk12 Launches

12 competing off-plan launches tracked in Dubai Production City — potential handover competition

SKID tracks 12 competing off-plan launches in Dubai Production City. While phased handovers and district demand may absorb new inventory, a concentrated pipeline increases potential competition for tenants and resale buyers.

Why this matters: Future supply impact is a potential risk rather than a certainty: if multiple towers deliver in the same window, landlords may face longer leasing times or more competitive rent and resale pricing.

Evidence: District Pipeline Tracker (n = 12) · Dubai Production City, DubaiUpdated: 2026-10-23
Finding #3Rental Yield (Calculated Estimate)
Calculated EstimateCalculated Estimate · Ejari Leases~4.0% Est. Gross

Estimated gross rental yield of 4.0% (~2.7% estimated net)

Comparing current Ejari leases in Dubai Production City (AED 76/sq.ft./yr) against the asking price implies a 4.0% gross yield—a calculated estimate based on today's rents, not a guaranteed future return.

Why this matters: After estimated service charges and maintenance (~1.2%–1.5%), an implied ~2.7% net yield leaves a narrow margin against financing costs, vacancy, or potential rent softening by handover.

Evidence: Ejari Community Lease Benchmark (n ≥ 8) · Dubai Production City, DubaiUpdated: 2026-10-23
Understand the Price · Price & Value Explained Simply

Asking price is 49.1% higher than nearby completed homes (+AED 625/sq.ft.)

Verified Fact49.1% above comparable sales

The developer asks AED 1,485,224 (~AED 1,898/sq.ft. for a published 782 sq.ft. starting unit), while comparable residential homes in Dubai Production City sold for a median of AED 1,273/sq.ft. (AED 995,995 for the same size).

1. Asking Price

AED 1,898 / sq.ft.

AED 1,485,224 starting price · 782 sq.ft.

Headline AED/sq.ft. (AED 1,898/sq.ft.) is calculated directly from the published starting 1 BR unit (AED 1,485,224 ÷ 782 sq.ft.).

2. Comparable Sales

AED 1,273 / sq.ft.

AED 995,995 for same size

Median price paid for completed residential homes nearby (DLD).

3. Price-per-Sq.Ft. Gap

+AED 625 / sq.ft. (+49.1% Premium)

+AED 489,229 on this unit

Positive (+) is a premium above benchmark median; negative (-) is a discount below benchmark median (not a guaranteed gain).

Developer Asking PriceAED 1,898 / sq.ft.
Nearby Completed Sales Median (DLD)AED 1,273 / sq.ft.

Why this difference matters: The asking rate is 49.1% (~AED 489,229 on a 782 sq.ft. unit) above recent nearby completed homes in Dubai Production City. Because future property appreciation is never guaranteed, local secondary prices would need to rise by at least 49.1%—plus ~4%–6% in registration and resale costs—before handover just to match today's baseline.

Evidence Reference: DLD Closed Residential Sales · n = 232 · Dubai Production City, DubaiLast Updated: 2026-10-23
Valuation & Negotiation Guide

What price should I offer?

Separating developer asking price, official closed comparable sales, model fair value, and evidence-supported negotiating range.

1. Asking Price (1 BR)

AED 1.49M

AED 1,899 / sq.ft. · 782 sq.ft.

Calculated from the published starting 1 BR unit (AED 1,485,224 ÷ 782 sq ft = AED 1,899/sqft).

2. Closed Sale Evidence

AED 1,271 / sq.ft.

n=11 verified DLD sales

3. Model Fair Value

AED 1.01M

AED 1,296 / sq.ft. (moderate confidence)

4. Suggested Offer Range

AED 1.42M – AED 1.45M

Target: AED 1.45M (-1.0% vs ask)

Developer Launch Strategy: Developer off-plan inventory is sold from a primary rate card. Unlike secondary resales, developers rarely cut headline prices deeply on single units unless you pay cash upfront or buy near quarter-end; instead, negotiation leverage typically centres on 2%–4% DLD fee waivers, post-handover payment splits, and floor/view upgrades.
Better Alternatives · SKID Investment Matcher

You might find a better deal.

Up to three evidence-backed alternatives from SKID's database matched to SAMANA "Samana Resorts 1 & 2" by budget, asset class, location, and 6-dimension risk-return profile.

Price verified 2026-10-23
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Launch entry sits +49.1% vs matched DLD ready closed sales in Dubai Production City; registered rent contracts imply ~4.0% gross yield.

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Investment Outlook Watch

Follow SAMANA "Samana Resorts 1 & 2" when its investment outlook changes

No account needed. Get notified only when verified evidence shows a meaningful shift in published pricing, DLD closed sales, handover dates, developer news, SKID scores, or investment risks.

1. Published Price

AED 1.49M

Alerts on ≥3% shift

2. DLD Closed Comps

AED 1,273/sqft

Verified (n=232)

3. Handover Info

Jun 2028

Timeline & plan shifts

4. Developer News

Samana Developers

Milestones & escrow

5. SKID Score

6.3 / 10

Band & Ejari yield

6. Investment Risks

Warning active

Risk stance triggers

SKID intelligence

How does this project compare across all 10 factors?

Gross yield
4.0%
Fair value
+49.1% above market (Premium)
How SKID scores & compares projects

Last evaluated: 2026-10-23

01 · Ranked

20%15%15%10%10%10%7.5%5%2.5%5%

10 factors

0% total

Tap any slice or factor below to inspect how SKID weighs and verifies it.

Why SKID gave it 6.3

FactorWeightScore

Location

Amenities mention park

20%
6.5/ 10

Entry price

Launch is +49.1% above median DLD sale price per sq ft (premium) in this community

15%
3.2/ 10

Developer

Active UAE developer with established multi-project delivery history

15%
7.0/ 10

Supply / competition

Busy pipeline: 12 other launches in Dubai Production City

10%
5.0/ 10

Payment plan

77% of the price is due at or after handover, keeping strong buyer leverage until completion

10%
8.9/ 10

Appreciation potential

Community closed-sale trend is +0.0% year on year

10%
6.3/ 10

Rental yield

Implied gross yield is 4.0% against community rents

7.5%
5.2/ 10

Delivery risk

Handover sits in a typical 1–3 year off-plan window

5%
8.9/ 10

Service charges

Service charge published at 15

2.5%
7.1/ 10

Exit liquidity

551 closed sales in the last year in this community

5%
8.6/ 10

Strong

  • • 77% of the price is due at or after handover, keeping strong buyer leverage until completion
  • • Handover sits in a typical 1–3 year off-plan window
  • • 551 closed sales in the last year in this community

Watch

  • • Amenities mention park
  • • Active UAE developer with established multi-project delivery history
  • • Community closed-sale trend is +0.0% year on year
  • • Service charge published at 15

Risk

  • • Launch is +49.1% above median DLD sale price per sq ft (premium) in this community
  • • Busy pipeline: 12 other launches in Dubai Production City
  • • Implied gross yield is 4.0% against community rents
What the agents are saying & Did each agent do its job?Show audit details

Did each agent do its job?

News sentimentLeft out, and the reason is written

No current news specifically about this project, developer, or community, so news did not change the SKID score.

Developer evaluationIncluded, with evidence

Developer evaluation for Samana Developers: 7.0 / 10 from delivery history. Active UAE developer with established multi-project delivery history Delivery risk 8.9 / 10. Handover sits in a typical 1–3 year off-plan window.

CommunityIncluded, with evidence

Community read for Dubai Production City: location 6.5 / 10, supply 5.0 / 10. Amenities mention park Busy pipeline: 12 other launches in Dubai Production City

PricingIncluded, with evidence

Pricing agent: Launch is +49.1% above median DLD sale price per sq ft (premium) in this community Service charge published at 15 551 closed sales in the last year in this community

ROIIncluded, with evidence

ROI agent: Community closed-sale trend is +0.0% year on year Implied gross yield is 4.0% against community rents

Payment planIncluded, with evidence

Payment plan agent: 77% of the price is due at or after handover, keeping strong buyer leverage until completion. Score 8.9 / 10.

OrchestratorIncluded, with evidence

Proceed with caution. Several evidenced factors are weak. Strongest evidenced factor: payment plan. Weakest: entry price.

What the agents are saying

  • News sentiment

    No current news specifically about this project, developer, or community, so news did not change the SKID score.

  • Developer evaluation

    Developer evaluation for Samana Developers: 7.0 / 10 from delivery history. Active UAE developer with established multi-project delivery history Delivery risk 8.9 / 10. Handover sits in a typical 1–3 year off-plan window.

  • Community

    Community read for Dubai Production City: location 6.5 / 10, supply 5.0 / 10. Amenities mention park Busy pipeline: 12 other launches in Dubai Production City

  • Pricing

    Pricing agent: Launch is +49.1% above median DLD sale price per sq ft (premium) in this community Service charge published at 15 551 closed sales in the last year in this community

  • ROI

    ROI agent: Community closed-sale trend is +0.0% year on year Implied gross yield is 4.0% against community rents

  • Payment plan

    Payment plan agent: 77% of the price is due at or after handover, keeping strong buyer leverage until completion. Score 8.9 / 10.

  • Orchestrator

    Proceed with caution. Several evidenced factors are weak. Strongest evidenced factor: payment plan. Weakest: entry price.

Payment plan

Payment Plan 1 (post handover 53 months) 77% is due at or after handover. Down payment 20%.

Location

Dubai Production City · Dubai

Recent sales nearby

DateTypePriceSq ftAED / sq ft
2026-07-07Ready · ApartmentAED 1.15M1,565735
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.55M1,2621,229
2026-07-07Ready · ApartmentAED 1.6M1,1411,402
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.12M7751,448
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.11M7691,444
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 696K4341,604
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 565K3761,503
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 565K3761,503
2026-07-06Ready · ApartmentAED 900K6211,450
2026-07-06Ready · ApartmentAED 810K6371,271
2026-07-06Ready · ApartmentAED 833K6671,250
2026-07-06Ready · ApartmentAED 450K3651,232
2026-07-06Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.92M1,7381,104
2026-07-06Ready · ApartmentAED 415K3691,124
2026-07-06Ready · ApartmentAED 437K599729
2026-07-06Off-plan · ApartmentAED 2.19M1,6651,316
2026-07-06Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.05M7041,495
2026-07-06Off-plan · ApartmentAED 763K4101,859
2026-07-06Off-plan · ApartmentAED 646K4121,567
2026-07-06Off-plan · ApartmentAED 965K6911,397
2026-07-06Off-plan · ApartmentAED 748K4101,823
2026-07-03Ready · ApartmentAED 423K602703
2026-07-03Ready · ApartmentAED 427K626682
2026-07-03Ready · ApartmentAED 407K572711

Closed sales in this community. These are not this tower's own contracts unless the record says so.

Available units

1 bed · Apartments

1 BR

From AED 1.49M

782 sq.ft · AED 1,898 / sq.ft

From 782 sq ft / sq m as published

Service charge 15

Amenities

  • Shared Pool
  • Kids’ Play Area
  • Shared Gym & Fitness Centre
  • Retail Outlets
  • Tennis Court
  • Lobby
  • Leisure Areas
  • BBQ
  • Basketball Court
  • Social Zone
  • Recreational Areas
  • Lift
  • Sports Ground
  • Shared Gym
  • Landscaped Garden
  • Security & CCTV
  • Children’s Pool
  • Walking Paths
  • SPA
  • Infinity Pool
  • Private Pool
  • Covered Gym
  • Outdoor Cinema
  • Covered Parking

SAMANA "Samana Resorts 1 & 2"

From AED 1.49M · 6.3 / 10

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Questions about this launch

Is SAMANA "Samana Resorts 1 & 2" a good off-plan investment in Dubai Production City?
SAMANA "Samana Resorts 1 & 2" in Dubai Production City (Dubai) scores 6.3/10 (caution) on the independent SKID 10-factor off-plan model across 100% evidenced factor weight. Proceed with caution. Several evidenced factors are weak. Strongest evidenced factor: payment plan. Weakest: entry price. SKID Fair Value Gap: launch entry pricing sits +49.1% above matched land-registry transactions (Premium) in Dubai Production City (advertised listings are excluded). SKID Rental Evidence: registered tenancy contracts imply ~4.01% gross yield before service charges and vacancy reserves. Reviewed by SKID Investment Research Engine (as of 2026-10-23).
Who is building SAMANA "Samana Resorts 1 & 2"?
Samana Developers is the developer named on this launch.
When is handover for SAMANA "Samana Resorts 1 & 2"?
The published handover is Jun 2028.
What is the starting price of SAMANA "Samana Resorts 1 & 2"?
The published starting price is AED 1.49M.
What does the SKID screen mean for SAMANA "Samana Resorts 1 & 2"?
The SKID screen for this launch in Dubai Production City is 91 out of 100. It ranks the published payment plan, handover date, starting price, and whether a developer is named. It is not a buy signal. Run the simulation before you reserve.
Methodology & Registry Provenance (Evaluated 2026-10-23)Details

Evidence Coverage: 10 of 10 canonical factors evidenced (100% weight coverage). Missing factors are excluded rather than treated as positive evidence.

Provenance Policy: Closed Dubai Land Department (DLD) registry transactions, Oqood registrations, and registered Ejari tenancy contracts are strictly separated from developer launch prices and portal listings.

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