MERAKI "Celeste" NEW LAUNCH

Meraki · Dubai South · Dubai

SKID Score6.3 / 10

SKID Score

6.3 / 10

Proceed with caution

10-factor analysis

Proceed with caution. Several evidenced factors are weak. Strongest evidenced factor: payment plan. Weakest: supply.

Key Investment Insight

29 competing off-plan launches tracked in Dubai South — potential handover competition

Published price
From AED 683K
Payment plan
Down payment 20%.
Handover
Mar 2030
Available units
0–2 beds
Gross yield
4.2%
Fair value
-1.9% in line with market
Risk
High
At handover
60% at or after handover
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Evidence-Backed Property Intelligence

What SKID discovered

3 supported findings (max 3)

Official DLD & contract evidence · Last updated 2026-10-23

Claim Classification:Verified Facts (0)Calculated Estimates (1)Potential Risks (2)Insufficient Evidence (1)
Primary TakeawayPotential RiskEstimate — Potential Supply Risk

29 competing off-plan launches tracked in Dubai South — potential handover competition

SKID tracks 29 competing off-plan launches in Dubai South. While phased handovers and district demand may absorb new inventory, a concentrated pipeline increases potential competition for tenants and resale buyers. (Potential Risk · Estimate — Potential Supply Risk)

Ref: District Pipeline Tracker (n = 29) · Dubai South, DubaiLast updated: 2026-10-23
Primary Potential RiskCompeting Supply (Potential Risk)
Potential RiskEstimate — Potential Supply Risk29 Launches

29 competing off-plan launches tracked in Dubai South — potential handover competition

SKID tracks 29 competing off-plan launches in Dubai South. While phased handovers and district demand may absorb new inventory, a concentrated pipeline increases potential competition for tenants and resale buyers.

Why this matters: Future supply impact is a potential risk rather than a certainty: if multiple towers deliver in the same window, landlords may face longer leasing times or more competitive rent and resale pricing.

Evidence: District Pipeline Tracker (n = 29) · Dubai South, DubaiUpdated: 2026-10-23
Finding #2Rental Yield (Calculated Estimate)
Calculated EstimateCalculated Estimate · Ejari Leases~4.2% Est. Gross

Estimated gross rental yield of 4.2% (~2.9% estimated net)

Comparing current Ejari leases in Dubai South (AED 69/sq.ft./yr) against the asking price implies a 4.2% gross yield—a calculated estimate based on today's rents, not a guaranteed future return.

Why this matters: After estimated service charges and maintenance (~1.2%–1.5%), an implied ~2.9% net yield leaves a narrow margin against financing costs, vacancy, or potential rent softening by handover.

Evidence: Ejari Community Lease Benchmark (n ≥ 8) · Dubai South, DubaiUpdated: 2026-10-23
Finding #3Handover Horizon (Potential Risk)
Potential RiskEstimate — Potential Timeline Risk~3.9 Yrs (2030-03)

Estimated ~3.9-year horizon until 2030-03 target handover (~47 months)

Target completion is scheduled for 2030-03. SKID does not assume or predict developer delays, but a ~3.9-year construction window carries potential schedule and market-cycle exposure.

Why this matters: Capital committed during construction earns no rental income until handover, and multi-year timelines carry potential exposure to contractor pacing, phased delivery, and market shifts.

Evidence: Published Target Handover (2030-03) · ~47 Months HorizonUpdated: 2026-10-23
Insufficient Evidence — Unverified Factors (1 Excluded)
No unsupported assumptions substituted
  • Annual Service ChargesInsufficient Evidence

    Insufficient verified DLD or launch evidence to score service charges.

Understand the Price · Price & Value Explained Simply

Asking price matches nearby completed homes within 1.9% (-AED 31/sq.ft.)

Verified FactIn line with comparable sales (-1.9%)

The developer asks AED 683,000 (~AED 1,634/sq.ft. for a published 418 sq.ft. starting unit), while comparable residential homes in Dubai South sold for a median of AED 1,665/sq.ft. (AED 695,970 for the same size).

1. Asking Price

AED 1,634 / sq.ft.

AED 683,000 starting price · 418 sq.ft.

Headline AED/sq.ft. (AED 1,634/sq.ft.) is calculated from the published starting Studio unit (AED 683,000 ÷ 418 sq.ft.). Because this project spans unit sizes from 418 to 1,170 sq.ft. and prices from AED 683,000 to AED 1,700,000 and 0BR–2BR layouts, larger units have different total prices and floor areas—select or enter your exact unit in the Offer Calculator to evaluate a larger layout.

2. Comparable Sales

AED 1,665 / sq.ft.

AED 695,970 for same size

Median price paid for completed residential homes nearby (DLD).

3. Price-per-Sq.Ft. Gap

-AED 31 / sq.ft. (-1.9% Discount)

-AED 12,970 on this unit

Positive (+) is a premium above benchmark median; negative (-) is a discount below benchmark median (not a guaranteed gain).

Developer Asking PriceAED 1,634 / sq.ft.
Nearby Completed Sales Median (DLD)AED 1,665 / sq.ft.

Why this difference matters: The asking rate is broadly aligned with recent nearby completed homes in Dubai South, avoiding an upfront launch premium—though off-plan capital remains committed during construction without rental income and future appreciation is not guaranteed.

Evidence Reference: DLD Closed Residential Sales · n = 3096 · Dubai South, DubaiLast Updated: 2026-10-23
Valuation & Negotiation Guide

What price should I offer?

Separating developer asking price, official closed comparable sales, model fair value, and evidence-supported negotiating range.

Unit Tier:
1. Asking Price (Studio)

AED 683K

AED 1,634 / sq.ft. · 418 sq.ft.

Calculated from the published starting Studio unit (AED 683,000 ÷ 418 sq ft = AED 1,634/sqft). Larger units in the project range up to 1,170 sq ft (up to AED 1,700,000) — enter your specific unit's brochure price and sq ft if evaluating a larger layout.

2. Closed Sale Evidence

AED 2,062 / sq.ft.

n=15 verified DLD sales

3. Model Fair Value

AED 783K

AED 1,873 / sq.ft. (moderate confidence)

4. Suggested Offer Range

AED 670K – AED 675K

Target: AED 675K (at ask)

Developer Launch Strategy: Developer off-plan inventory is sold from a primary rate card. Unlike secondary resales, developers rarely cut headline prices deeply on single units unless you pay cash upfront or buy near quarter-end; instead, negotiation leverage typically centres on 2%–4% DLD fee waivers, post-handover payment splits, and floor/view upgrades.
Better Alternatives · SKID Investment Matcher

You might find a better deal.

Up to three evidence-backed alternatives from SKID's database matched to MERAKI "Celeste" NEW LAUNCH by budget, asset class, location, and 6-dimension risk-return profile.

Price verified 2026-10-23
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Unit Bedrooms
Investment Purpose
Share with friends, family, or advisorsPublic report · No sign-up required

Launch entry sits -1.9% below matched DLD ready closed sales in Dubai South; registered rent contracts imply ~4.2% gross yield.

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Investment Outlook Watch

Follow MERAKI "Celeste" NEW LAUNCH when its investment outlook changes

No account needed. Get notified only when verified evidence shows a meaningful shift in published pricing, DLD closed sales, handover dates, developer news, SKID scores, or investment risks.

1. Published Price

AED 683K

Alerts on ≥3% shift

2. DLD Closed Comps

AED 1,665/sqft

Verified (n=3096)

3. Handover Info

Mar 2030

Timeline & plan shifts

4. Developer News

Meraki

Milestones & escrow

5. SKID Score

6.3 / 10

Band & Ejari yield

6. Investment Risks

Warning active

Risk stance triggers

SKID intelligence

How does this project compare across all 10 factors?

Gross yield
4.2%
Fair value
-1.9% in line with market
How SKID scores & compares projects

0.2 since last analysis

Last evaluated: 2026-10-23

01 · Ranked

20%15%15%10%10%10%7.5%5%2.5%5%

10 factors

0% total

Tap any slice or factor below to inspect how SKID weighs and verifies it.

Why SKID gave it 6.3

FactorWeightScore

Location

Located in Dubai South

20.5%
6.0/ 10

Entry price

Launch is 1.9% below median DLD sale price per sq ft (discount) in this community

15.4%
7.6/ 10

Developer

1 other catalog project(s) already past their published handover

15.4%
6.6/ 10

Supply / competition

Heavy competing supply: 29 other launches in Dubai South

10.3%
3.6/ 10

Payment plan

60% of the price is due at or after handover, keeping strong buyer leverage until completion

10.3%
8.4/ 10

Appreciation potential

Community closed-sale trend is +0.0% year on year

10.3%
6.3/ 10

Rental yield

Implied gross yield is 4.2% against community rents

7.7%
5.2/ 10

Delivery risk

Handover is more than three years out

5.1%
6.7/ 10

Exit liquidity

23 primary off-plan registrations in this community (0 completed or secondary resales recorded yet)

5.1%
4.5/ 10

Strong

  • • 60% of the price is due at or after handover, keeping strong buyer leverage until completion

Watch

  • • Located in Dubai South
  • • Launch is 1.9% below median DLD sale price per sq ft (discount) in this community
  • • 1 other catalog project(s) already past their published handover
  • • Community closed-sale trend is +0.0% year on year
  • • Handover is more than three years out

Risk

  • • Heavy competing supply: 29 other launches in Dubai South
  • • Implied gross yield is 4.2% against community rents
  • • 23 primary off-plan registrations in this community (0 completed or secondary resales recorded yet)
What the agents are saying & Did each agent do its job?Show audit details

Did each agent do its job?

News sentimentLeft out, and the reason is written

No current news specifically about this project, developer, or community, so news did not change the SKID score.

Developer evaluationIncluded, with evidence

Developer evaluation for Meraki: 6.6 / 10 from delivery history. 1 other catalog project(s) already past their published handover Delivery risk 6.7 / 10. Handover is more than three years out.

CommunityIncluded, with evidence

Community read for Dubai South: location 6.0 / 10, supply 3.6 / 10. Located in Dubai South Heavy competing supply: 29 other launches in Dubai South

PricingIncluded, with evidence

Pricing agent: Launch is 1.9% below median DLD sale price per sq ft (discount) in this community No usable service charge, so that factor was left out. 23 primary off-plan registrations in this community (0 completed or secondary resales recorded yet)

ROIIncluded, with evidence

ROI agent: Community closed-sale trend is +0.0% year on year Implied gross yield is 4.2% against community rents

Payment planIncluded, with evidence

Payment plan agent: 60% of the price is due at or after handover, keeping strong buyer leverage until completion. Score 8.4 / 10.

OrchestratorIncluded, with evidence

Proceed with caution. Several evidenced factors are weak. Strongest evidenced factor: payment plan. Weakest: supply.

What the agents are saying

  • News sentiment

    No current news specifically about this project, developer, or community, so news did not change the SKID score.

  • Developer evaluation

    Developer evaluation for Meraki: 6.6 / 10 from delivery history. 1 other catalog project(s) already past their published handover Delivery risk 6.7 / 10. Handover is more than three years out.

  • Community

    Community read for Dubai South: location 6.0 / 10, supply 3.6 / 10. Located in Dubai South Heavy competing supply: 29 other launches in Dubai South

  • Pricing

    Pricing agent: Launch is 1.9% below median DLD sale price per sq ft (discount) in this community No usable service charge, so that factor was left out. 23 primary off-plan registrations in this community (0 completed or secondary resales recorded yet)

  • ROI

    ROI agent: Community closed-sale trend is +0.0% year on year Implied gross yield is 4.2% against community rents

  • Payment plan

    Payment plan agent: 60% of the price is due at or after handover, keeping strong buyer leverage until completion. Score 8.4 / 10.

  • Orchestrator

    Proceed with caution. Several evidenced factors are weak. Strongest evidenced factor: payment plan. Weakest: supply.

Payment plan

Payment Plan 60% is due at or after handover. Down payment 20%.

Location

Dubai South · Dubai

Recent sales nearby

DateTypePriceSq ftAED / sq ft
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 2.56M1,9511,311
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.26M8511,481
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 2.2M1,6771,313
2026-07-07Ready · ApartmentAED 499K4461,120
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.86M1,3341,394
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.23M7601,624
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 3.42M1,7731,932
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 797K3472,294
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 775K3472,235
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 800K3482,301
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 480K3511,368
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 742K3572,080
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 480K3381,421
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 745K3542,102
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.11M7361,512
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 730K3522,072
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 730K3542,062
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 730K3512,080
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.97M1,1231,755
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 632K3451,833
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 648K3411,901
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 680K4201,621
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 1.15M7341,568
2026-07-07Off-plan · ApartmentAED 696K3811,828

Closed sales in this community. These are not this tower's own contracts unless the record says so.

Available units

0–2 beds · Apartments

Studio

From AED 683K

418 sq.ft · AED 1,634 / sq.ft

1 BR

Price not published

2 BR

Price not published

From 418 sq ft / sq m as published

Headline AED/sq.ft. (AED 1,634/sq.ft.) is calculated from the published starting Studio unit (AED 683,000 ÷ 418 sq.ft.). Because this project spans unit sizes from 418 to 1,170 sq.ft. and prices from AED 683,000 to AED 1,700,000 and 0BR–2BR layouts, larger units have different total prices and floor areas—select or enter your exact unit in the Offer Calculator to evaluate a larger layout.

Amenities

  • Children’s Pool
  • Kids’ Play Area
  • Lobby
  • Coworking Zone
  • Retail Outlets
  • Infinity Pool
  • Outdoor Cinema
  • Outdoor Kids’ Play Area
  • Covered Kids’ Play Area
  • Outdoor Yoga
  • Landscaped Open Areas
  • Fitness Zone
  • Indoor Multipurpose Space

MERAKI "Celeste" NEW LAUNCH

From AED 683K · 6.3 / 10

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Questions about this launch

Is MERAKI "Celeste" NEW LAUNCH a good off-plan investment in Dubai South?
MERAKI "Celeste" NEW LAUNCH in Dubai South (Dubai) scores 6.3/10 (caution) on the independent SKID 10-factor off-plan model across 98% evidenced factor weight. Proceed with caution. Several evidenced factors are weak. Strongest evidenced factor: payment plan. Weakest: supply. SKID Fair Value Gap: launch entry pricing sits 1.9% below matched land-registry transactions (Discount) in Dubai South (advertised listings are excluded). SKID Rental Evidence: registered tenancy contracts imply ~4.20% gross yield before service charges and vacancy reserves. Reviewed by SKID Investment Research Engine (as of 2026-10-23).
Who is building MERAKI "Celeste" NEW LAUNCH?
Meraki is the developer named on this launch.
When is handover for MERAKI "Celeste" NEW LAUNCH?
The published handover is Mar 2030.
What is the starting price of MERAKI "Celeste" NEW LAUNCH?
The published starting price is AED 683K.
What does the SKID screen mean for MERAKI "Celeste" NEW LAUNCH?
The SKID screen for this launch in Dubai South is 72 out of 100. It ranks the published payment plan, handover date, starting price, and whether a developer is named. It is not a buy signal. Run the simulation before you reserve.
Methodology & Registry Provenance (Evaluated 2026-10-23)Details

Evidence Coverage: 9 of 10 canonical factors evidenced (97.5% weight coverage). Missing factors are excluded rather than treated as positive evidence.

Provenance Policy: Closed Dubai Land Department (DLD) registry transactions, Oqood registrations, and registered Ejari tenancy contracts are strictly separated from developer launch prices and portal listings.

Scoring Methodology·Research Reports·Investor Q&A·Weekly Verdicts

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