{"ok":true,"as_of":"2026-10-22T20:19:39.621475Z","canonical_url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279","stable_id":"skid:project:2279:damac-the-crescent-2279","citation_id":"cite:skid:project:damac-the-crescent-2279:2026-10-22","methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","evaluated_at":"2026-10-22T07:15:00.327000","updated_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39.621475Z","project":{"id":2279,"stable_id":"skid:project:2279:damac-the-crescent-2279","slug":"damac-the-crescent-2279","name":"DAMAC \"The Crescent\"","developer":"DAMAC Properties","community":"Dubai Production City","district":"Dubai Production City","emirate":"Dubai","unit_types":[{"unit_type":"1BR","typical_area_sqft":1313.0,"area_units":"sqft","dld_closed_median_price_aed":1384191.0,"dld_closed_median_ppsf_aed":1054.2,"launch_ask_median_ppsf_aed":837.78,"currency":"AED"}],"starting_price_aed":1100000.0,"currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","handover_year":2008,"handover_quarter":"2008-12","url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279","canonical_url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279"},"skid_score":{"overall":7.3,"band":"compare","rating_band":"compare","verdict":"Worth comparing. The evidenced factors are mixed. Strongest evidenced factor: entry price. Weakest: delivery risk.","evaluatedAt":"2026-10-22T07:15:00.327000","scored_factor_coverage":{"coverage_ratio":0.9,"coverage_pct":90.0,"evaluated_factor_count":9,"total_canonical_factors":10,"missing_factor_ids":["payment_plan"]},"evidence_confidence":{"metric_id":"skid_evidence_confidence","status":"supported","confidence_score_100":93.5,"confidence_band":"high","scored_factor_coverage_pct":90.0,"scored_factor_coverage_ratio":0.9,"evaluated_factor_count":9,"total_canonical_factors":10,"evaluated_factor_ids":["location","entry_price","developer","supply","appreciation","rental_yield","delivery_risk","service_charges","exit_liquidity"],"missing_factor_ids":["payment_plan"],"component_breakdown":{"factor_coverage_score":90.0,"source_reliability_score":100.0,"sample_adequacy_score":95.0,"comparison_quality_score":90.0,"freshness_score":90.0},"separation_note":"SKID Evidence Confidence measures data completeness, registry provenance, and sample adequacy. It is kept strictly separate from the 10-factor investment attractiveness score; missing factors are never treated as positive evidence."},"factors":[{"id":"location","agent":"community","score":6.5,"canonicalWeight":0.2,"appliedWeight":0.2222,"included":true,"stance":"watch","lines":["Amenities mention park"],"evidence":[{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_location_location_factor_evidence_0a5e3343df","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"location","claim_id":"location_factor_evidence","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"none","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:location_factor_evidence","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory"},"sample_size":1,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Developer launch prices and payment schedules represent initial primary-market asking terms, not secondary closed transactions.","Scheduled handover dates are developer targets subject to construction progress and DLD/RERA inspection."],"exclusion_criteria":["Never merged with closed DLD transaction medians"],"confidence_level":"medium","verification_status":"partially_verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T07:15:00Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"source":"project","detail":"Dubai Production City"},"formula":"developer_schedule_extraction","output":{"included":true,"score":6.5},"summary":"Dubai Production City"},"reproducible_hash":"0a5e3343df366dd81e9be0a6","source":"project","detail":"Dubai Production City"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_location_location_factor_evidence_c992dc1e1b","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"location","claim_id":"location_factor_evidence","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"none","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:location_factor_evidence","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory"},"sample_size":1,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Developer launch prices and payment schedules represent initial primary-market asking terms, not secondary closed transactions.","Scheduled handover dates are developer targets subject to construction progress and DLD/RERA inspection."],"exclusion_criteria":["Never merged with closed DLD transaction medians"],"confidence_level":"medium","verification_status":"partially_verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T07:15:00Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"source":"amenities","detail":"Security & CCTV, Shared Pool, Kids’ Play Area, Shared Gym & Fitness Centre, Basketball Court, SPA, Sports Ground, Parking"},"formula":"developer_schedule_extraction","output":{"included":true,"score":6.5},"summary":"Security & CCTV, Shared Pool, Kids’ Play Area, Shared Gym & Fitness Centre, Basketball Court, SPA, Sports Ground, Parking"},"reproducible_hash":"c992dc1e1b7ec248b8f2dbdc","source":"amenities","detail":"Security & CCTV, Shared Pool, Kids’ Play Area, Shared Gym & Fitness Centre, Basketball Court, SPA, Sports Ground, Parking"}]},{"id":"entry_price","agent":"pricing","score":9.0,"canonicalWeight":0.15,"appliedWeight":0.1667,"included":true,"stance":"strong","lines":["Launch is -34.2% versus median DLD sale price per sq ft in this community"],"evidence":[{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_entry_price_skid_fair_value_gap_415994631d","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"entry_price","claim_id":"skid_fair_value_gap","source_name":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Open Data via Dubai Pulse","source_url":"https://www.dubaipulse.gov.ae/organisation/dld","source_type":"closed_transaction","transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_record_identifier":"DLD:Dubai Production City:dld_closed_ready_sale","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type_scope":"Apartment","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type":"Apartment"},"sample_size":232,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Compares primary off-plan launch entry price/sqft against historical closed transactions in the same community."],"exclusion_criteria":["Excluded advertised portal listings and developer brochure prices","Excluded synthetic/estimated records (isEstimated=True)","Excluded non-arm's-length transfers and extreme ppsf outliers","Separated primary off-plan registrations from completed ready-sale baseline"],"confidence_level":"high","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T07:15:00Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"sample_size":232,"median_ppsf_aed":1054.22,"p25_ppsf_aed":833.61,"p75_ppsf_aed":1249.08,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","unit_ask_ppsf_aed":837.78,"normalized_unit_area_sqft":1313.0,"fair_value_gap_pct":-20.5,"fair_value_gap_aed_per_sqft":-216.44},"formula":"median_and_iqr_over_filtered_closed_sales","output":{"median_ppsf_aed":1054.22,"p25_ppsf_aed":833.61,"p75_ppsf_aed":1249.08},"summary":"Launch ask 838 AED/sqft vs DLD closed median 1054 AED/sqft (-20.5% gap, n=232 in Dubai Production City)"},"reproducible_hash":"415994631d4acd367771e04d","source":"dld","detail":"market AED 1273 / sq ft"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_entry_price_skid_fair_value_gap_415994631d","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"entry_price","claim_id":"skid_fair_value_gap","source_name":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Open Data via Dubai Pulse","source_url":"https://www.dubaipulse.gov.ae/organisation/dld","source_type":"closed_transaction","transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_record_identifier":"DLD:Dubai Production City:dld_closed_ready_sale","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type_scope":"Apartment","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type":"Apartment"},"sample_size":232,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Compares primary off-plan launch entry price/sqft against historical closed transactions in the same community."],"exclusion_criteria":["Excluded advertised portal listings and developer brochure prices","Excluded synthetic/estimated records (isEstimated=True)","Excluded non-arm's-length transfers and extreme ppsf outliers","Separated primary off-plan registrations from completed ready-sale baseline"],"confidence_level":"high","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T07:15:00Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"sample_size":232,"median_ppsf_aed":1054.22,"p25_ppsf_aed":833.61,"p75_ppsf_aed":1249.08,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","unit_ask_ppsf_aed":837.78,"normalized_unit_area_sqft":1313.0,"fair_value_gap_pct":-20.5,"fair_value_gap_aed_per_sqft":-216.44},"formula":"median_and_iqr_over_filtered_closed_sales","output":{"median_ppsf_aed":1054.22,"p25_ppsf_aed":833.61,"p75_ppsf_aed":1249.08},"summary":"Launch ask 838 AED/sqft vs DLD closed median 1054 AED/sqft (-20.5% gap, n=232 in Dubai Production City)"},"reproducible_hash":"415994631d4acd367771e04d","source":"project","detail":"launch AED 838 / sq 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City)"},"reproducible_hash":"415994631d4acd367771e04d","source":"dld","detail":"sample 551"}]},{"id":"developer","agent":"developer","score":8.6,"canonicalWeight":0.15,"appliedWeight":0.1667,"included":true,"stance":"strong","lines":["21 other catalog project(s) already past their published handover","Active UAE developer with established multi-project delivery history"],"evidence":[{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_developer_skid_developer_promise_v_120c770c47","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"developer","claim_id":"skid_developer_promise_vs_reality","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC 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notice."],"exclusion_criteria":["Never merged with closed DLD transaction medians"],"confidence_level":"medium","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T07:15:00Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"developer_name":"DAMAC Properties","is_tier_1":false,"tracked_projects_total":21,"verified_completed_count":21,"active_under_construction_count":0,"observed_delayed_count":0,"observed_cancelled_count":0,"target_handover":"2008-12","handover_state":"past"},"formula":"developer_schedule_extraction","output":{"tier_classification":"catalog_evidenced","delivery_consistency_ratio":1.0,"schedule_risk_assessment":"low_completed_or_past_handover_window"},"summary":"Developer DAMAC Properties (catalog_evidenced): 21 completed, 0 active in catalog; target handover=2008-12 (past)"},"reproducible_hash":"120c770c472757cd39968667","source":"catalog","detail":"DAMAC Properties"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_developer_skid_developer_promise_v_120c770c47","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"developer","claim_id":"skid_developer_promise_vs_reality","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"developer_launch_price","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:skid_developer_promise_vs_reality","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory"},"sample_size":1,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Catalog completion counts reflect projects tracked in the SKID off-plan & DLD registry feed; historical handovers prior to 2018 or under SPV subsidiaries may not appear unless linked to the parent developer entity.","UAE off-plan projects across the market experience an average 6–12 month variance between initial brochure target and final BCC/handover notice."],"exclusion_criteria":["Never merged with closed DLD transaction medians"],"confidence_level":"medium","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T07:15:00Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"developer_name":"DAMAC 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City"],"evidence":[{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_supply_skid_handover_supply_pre_07481a6dd2","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"supply","claim_id":"skid_handover_supply_pressure","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"none","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:skid_handover_supply_pressure","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory"},"sample_size":1,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Scheduled handover dates represent developer targets; actual completion clusters shift by ±6 to 12 months based on construction pacing and utility connections.","Counts reflect distinct off-plan project launches in the community catalog; total unit count per tower varies across high-rise vs low-rise developments."],"exclusion_criteria":["Never merged with closed DLD transaction medians"],"confidence_level":"medium","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T07:15:00Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"community":"Dubai Production City","target_handover":"2008-12","target_year":2008,"active_competing_launches_in_community":7,"same_year_handover_cluster_count":0,"adjacent_window_cluster_count":0},"formula":"developer_schedule_extraction","output":{"supply_pressure_level":"moderate","competing_project_sample":["OBG \"Golf Grove by Regent\"","DEYAAR DEVELOPMENT \"EMBER at Parkfive\"","DEYAAR DEVELOPMENT \"NEEM at Parkfive\"","VISION DEVELOPMENTS \"VISTA by Vision\"","DEYAAR DEVELOPMENT \"IVY at Parkfive\""]},"summary":"Handover supply pressure in Dubai Production City: 7 active competing off-plan launches (0 scheduled in 2008)"},"reproducible_hash":"07481a6dd2bcf60d11334f69","source":"catalog","detail":"11 competing off-plan projects"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_supply_skid_handover_supply_pre_07481a6dd2","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"supply","claim_id":"skid_handover_supply_pressure","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"none","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:skid_handover_supply_pressure","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch 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year"],"evidence":[{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_appreciation_appreciation_factor_evid_e1abb18a8d","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"appreciation","claim_id":"appreciation_factor_evidence","source_name":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Open Data via Dubai Pulse","source_url":"https://www.dubaipulse.gov.ae/organisation/dld","source_type":"closed_transaction","transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_record_identifier":"DLD:Dubai Production City:dld_closed_ready_sale","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type_scope":"Apartment","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type":"Apartment"},"sample_size":551,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Community-level closed transactions reflect historical clearing prices and may differ by floor plate, view, and tower tier."],"exclusion_criteria":["Excluded advertised portal listings and developer brochure prices","Excluded synthetic/estimated records (isEstimated=True)","Excluded non-arm's-length gifts, mortgage registrations, and outlier ppsf (<200 or >15,000 AED/sqft)","Excluded off-plan initial registrations (isOffPlan=False filter applied)"],"confidence_level":"high","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T07:15:00Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"sample_size":551,"median_ppsf_aed":1273.1,"p25_ppsf_aed":null,"p75_ppsf_aed":null,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale"},"formula":"median_and_iqr_over_filtered_closed_sales","output":{"median_ppsf_aed":1273.1,"p25_ppsf_aed":null,"p75_ppsf_aed":null},"summary":"yoy +0.0%"},"reproducible_hash":"e1abb18a8d067c357e31741b","source":"dld","detail":"yoy +0.0%"}]},{"id":"rental_yield","agent":"roi","score":8.8,"canonicalWeight":0.075,"appliedWeight":0.0833,"included":true,"stance":"strong","lines":["Implied gross yield is 9.1% against community rents"],"evidence":[{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_rental_yield_gross_and_net_rental_yie_61fca8a7e9","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":null,"factor_id":"rental_yield","claim_id":"gross_and_net_rental_yield","source_name":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Open Data via Dubai Pulse","source_url":"https://www.dubaipulse.gov.ae/organisation/dld","source_type":"rental_contract","transaction_category":"ejari_registered_lease","source_record_identifier":"EJARI:Dubai Production City:residential_leases","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type_scope":"Apartment","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type":"Apartment"},"sample_size":551,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Registered tenancy contracts reflect existing ready stock in the same community; off-plan units only generate cash yield after handover.","Net yield depends on actual OA/RERA service charges, vacancy days between leases, and property management fees."],"exclusion_criteria":["Excluded commercial/retail leases and short-term holiday home asking rates","Excluded extreme implied yields (>15% gross) indicative of unit-size mismatch"],"confidence_level":"high","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T07:15:00Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"rent_ppsf_aed_annual":76.15,"sample_size":551,"service_charge_aed_per_sqft":15.0,"service_charge_source":"verified_project_disclosure","annual_service_charge_aed":19695.0,"vacancy_allowance_pct":5.0,"maintenance_and_leasing_reserve_pct":5.0,"entry_price_aed":1100000.0,"total_acquisition_cost_aed":1148200.0,"normalized_unit_area_sqft":1313.0,"area_conversion_method":"native_sqft"},"formula":"gross_yield = (annual_rent_ppsf * area_sqft) / entry_price_aed; net_yield = (annual_rent * (1 - vacancy_rate) - annual_service_charge - maintenance_reserve) / total_acquisition_cost","output":{"gross_yield_pct":9.09,"net_yield_pct":6.39},"summary":"Registered rental evidence in Dubai Production City: 76 AED/sqft/yr (9.09% gross, 6.39% net)"},"reproducible_hash":"61fca8a7e9930a4fc8c3916c","source":"dld","detail":"rent AED 76 / sq 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- annual_service_charge - maintenance_reserve) / total_acquisition_cost","output":{"gross_yield_pct":9.09,"net_yield_pct":6.39},"summary":"Registered rental evidence in Dubai Production City: 76 AED/sqft/yr (9.09% gross, 6.39% net)"},"reproducible_hash":"61fca8a7e9930a4fc8c3916c","source":"project","detail":"price AED 838 / sq ft"}]},{"id":"delivery_risk","agent":"developer","score":3.8,"canonicalWeight":0.05,"appliedWeight":0.0556,"included":true,"stance":"risk","lines":["The published handover date is already in the past"],"evidence":[{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_developer_skid_developer_promise_v_120c770c47","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"developer","claim_id":"skid_developer_promise_vs_reality","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC 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(past)"}]},{"id":"service_charges","agent":"pricing","score":7.1,"canonicalWeight":0.025,"appliedWeight":0.0278,"included":true,"stance":"watch","lines":["Service charge published at 15"],"evidence":[{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_service_charges_service_charges_factor_e_5073394e77","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"service_charges","claim_id":"service_charges_factor_evidence","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"none","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:service_charges_factor_evidence","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch 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It is kept strictly separate from the 10-factor investment attractiveness score; missing factors are never treated as positive evidence."},"scored_factor_coverage":{"coverage_ratio":0.9,"coverage_pct":90.0,"evaluated_factor_count":9,"total_canonical_factors":10,"missing_factor_ids":["payment_plan"]},"top_three_strengths":[{"factor_id":"entry_price","score":9.0,"canonical_weight":0.15,"summary":"Launch is -34.2% versus median DLD sale price per sq ft in this community","evidence_ids":["ev_2279_entry_price_skid_fair_value_gap_415994631d","ev_2279_entry_price_skid_fair_value_gap_415994631d","ev_2279_entry_price_skid_fair_value_gap_415994631d"]},{"factor_id":"supply","score":9.0,"canonical_weight":0.1,"summary":"No other live launch in this community on the catalog","evidence_ids":["ev_2279_supply_skid_handover_supply_pre_34406462f3","ev_2279_supply_skid_handover_supply_pre_34406462f3"]},{"factor_id":"rental_yield","score":8.8,"canonical_weight":0.075,"summary":"Implied gross yield is 9.1% 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management fees."],"evidence_id":"ev_2279_rental_yield_gross_and_net_rental_yie_61fca8a7e9"},"skid_handover_supply_pressure":{"metric_id":"skid_handover_supply_pressure","status":"supported","community":"Dubai Production City","target_handover_period":"2008-12","active_competing_launches_in_community":0,"same_year_handover_cluster_count":0,"adjacent_window_cluster_count":0,"competing_project_names":[],"supply_pressure_level":"low","schedule_uncertainty_band_months":"±6 to 12 months (historical UAE off-plan handover variance)","limitations":["Scheduled handover dates represent developer targets; actual completion clusters shift by ±6 to 12 months based on construction pacing and utility connections.","Counts reflect distinct off-plan project launches in the community catalog; total unit count per tower varies across high-rise vs low-rise developments."],"evidence_id":"ev_2279_supply_skid_handover_supply_pre_34406462f3"},"skid_evidence_confidence":{"metric_id":"skid_evidence_confidence","status":"supported","confidence_score_100":93.5,"confidence_band":"high","scored_factor_coverage_pct":90.0,"scored_factor_coverage_ratio":0.9,"evaluated_factor_count":9,"total_canonical_factors":10,"evaluated_factor_ids":["location","entry_price","developer","supply","appreciation","rental_yield","delivery_risk","service_charges","exit_liquidity"],"missing_factor_ids":["payment_plan"],"component_breakdown":{"factor_coverage_score":90.0,"source_reliability_score":100.0,"sample_adequacy_score":95.0,"comparison_quality_score":90.0,"freshness_score":90.0},"separation_note":"SKID Evidence Confidence measures data completeness, registry provenance, and sample adequacy. It is kept strictly separate from the 10-factor investment attractiveness score; missing factors are never treated as positive evidence."}},"missing_evidence":[{"factor_id":"payment_plan","canonical_weight":0.1,"status":"insufficient_evidence","reason":"No verified evidence available for payment_plan."}],"explicit_warnings":["Payment milestone split (construction vs handover %) is not disclosed."],"better_alternatives":{"selection_methodology":"Ranked deterministically by (1) same-emirate relevance, (2) higher 10-factor SKID score, (3) lower Fair Value Gap premium vs closed DLD transactions, and (4) net rental yield support.","alternatives":[{"slug":"creek-waters","name":"Creek Waters","developer":"Emaar Properties","community":"Dubai Creek Harbour","emirate":"Dubai","canonical_url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/creek-waters","skid_score":8.5,"band":"strong","starting_price_aed":1750000.0,"dld_closed_median_ppsf_aed":2385.0,"fair_value_gap_pct":2.7,"estimated_net_yield_pct":5.5,"selection_rationale":["Higher SKID investment score (8.5/10 vs 7.3/10)","Tighter spread vs closed DLD sales (+2.7% across n=194 sales)","Verified rental yield support (5.5% estimated net yield)"]},{"slug":"330-riverside-crescent","name":"330 Riverside Crescent","developer":"Sobha Realty","community":"Sobha Hartland II","emirate":"Dubai","canonical_url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/330-riverside-crescent","skid_score":8.4,"band":"strong","starting_price_aed":1320000.0,"dld_closed_median_ppsf_aed":2120.0,"fair_value_gap_pct":3.1,"estimated_net_yield_pct":6.0,"selection_rationale":["Higher SKID investment score (8.4/10 vs 7.3/10)","Tighter spread vs closed DLD sales (+3.1% across n=112 sales)","Verified rental yield support (6.0% estimated net yield)"]},{"slug":"emaar-seapoint","name":"Emaar Seapoint","developer":"Emaar Properties","community":"Emaar Beachfront","emirate":"Dubai","canonical_url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/emaar-seapoint","skid_score":8.3,"band":"strong","starting_price_aed":3150000.0,"dld_closed_median_ppsf_aed":4160.0,"fair_value_gap_pct":2.3,"estimated_net_yield_pct":5.3,"selection_rationale":["Higher SKID investment score (8.3/10 vs 7.3/10)","Tighter spread vs closed DLD sales (+2.3% across n=134 sales)"]}]},"related_urls":{"canonical_project_url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279","methodology_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","research_hub_url":"https://skid.homes/blog","research_reports":["https://skid.homes/blog/dubai-off-plan-fair-value-index","https://skid.homes/blog/communities-largest-verified-off-plan-premium","https://skid.homes/blog/developer-delivery-reliability-report","https://skid.homes/blog/rental-yield-reality-check","https://skid.homes/blog/dubai-handover-supply-pressure-index","https://skid.homes/blog/best-evidence-backed-off-plan-opportunities-by-budget"],"investor_questions_url":"https://skid.homes/q","agent_compare_url":"https://skid.homes/api/agent/compare?projects=damac-the-crescent-2279,creek-waters"},"evidence_registry":[{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_entry_price_skid_fair_value_gap_415994631d","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"entry_price","claim_id":"skid_fair_value_gap","source_name":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Open Data via Dubai Pulse","source_url":"https://www.dubaipulse.gov.ae/organisation/dld","source_type":"closed_transaction","transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_record_identifier":"DLD:Dubai Production City:dld_closed_ready_sale","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type_scope":"Apartment","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type":"Apartment"},"sample_size":232,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Compares primary off-plan launch entry price/sqft against historical closed transactions in the same community."],"exclusion_criteria":["Excluded advertised portal listings and developer brochure prices","Excluded synthetic/estimated records (isEstimated=True)","Excluded non-arm's-length transfers and extreme ppsf outliers","Separated primary off-plan registrations from completed ready-sale baseline"],"confidence_level":"high","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"sample_size":232,"median_ppsf_aed":1054.22,"p25_ppsf_aed":833.61,"p75_ppsf_aed":1249.08,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","unit_ask_ppsf_aed":837.78,"normalized_unit_area_sqft":1313.0,"fair_value_gap_pct":-20.5,"fair_value_gap_aed_per_sqft":-216.44},"formula":"median_and_iqr_over_filtered_closed_sales","output":{"median_ppsf_aed":1054.22,"p25_ppsf_aed":833.61,"p75_ppsf_aed":1249.08},"summary":"Launch ask 838 AED/sqft vs DLD closed median 1054 AED/sqft (-20.5% gap, n=232 in Dubai Production City)"},"reproducible_hash":"415994631d4acd367771e04d","source":"dld","detail":"Launch ask 838 AED/sqft vs DLD closed median 1054 AED/sqft (-20.5% gap, n=232 in Dubai Production City)"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_exit_liquidity_skid_exit_liquidity_inde_45d1e53681","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":null,"factor_id":"exit_liquidity","claim_id":"skid_exit_liquidity_index","source_name":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Open Data via Dubai Pulse","source_url":"https://www.dubaipulse.gov.ae/organisation/dld","source_type":"closed_transaction","transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_record_identifier":"DLD:Dubai Production City:dld_closed_ready_sale","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type_scope":"Apartment","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type":"Apartment"},"sample_size":551,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Primary developer Oqood registrations do not represent secondary market exit depth and are separated from completed-property resales.","Off-plan secondary assignments before handover require developer NOC (typically gated at 30%–40% paid milestones)."],"exclusion_criteria":["Excluded advertised portal listings and developer brochure prices","Excluded synthetic/estimated records (isEstimated=True)","Excluded non-arm's-length gifts, mortgage registrations, and outlier ppsf (<200 or >15,000 AED/sqft)","Excluded off-plan initial registrations (isOffPlan=False filter applied)"],"confidence_level":"high","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"sample_size":551,"median_ppsf_aed":1054.22,"p25_ppsf_aed":null,"p75_ppsf_aed":null,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","observed_transactions_total":551,"recent_window_sales_count":551,"completed_property_resales_count":232,"off_plan_resales_count":0,"initial_off_plan_registrations_count":319,"split_method":"exact_registry_flag_split"},"formula":"median_and_iqr_over_filtered_closed_sales","output":{"median_ppsf_aed":1054.22,"p25_ppsf_aed":null,"p75_ppsf_aed":null},"summary":"Exit liquidity high (8.5/10): 551 observed transactions in Dubai Production City (completed resales=232, off-plan resales=0)"},"reproducible_hash":"45d1e53681aaf18427d53b96","source":"dld","detail":"Exit liquidity high (8.5/10): 551 observed transactions in Dubai Production City (completed resales=232, off-plan resales=0)"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_developer_skid_developer_promise_v_e7260824e7","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"developer","claim_id":"skid_developer_promise_vs_reality","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"developer_launch_price","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:skid_developer_promise_vs_reality","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory"},"sample_size":1,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Catalog completion counts reflect projects tracked in the SKID off-plan & DLD registry feed; historical handovers prior to 2018 or under SPV subsidiaries may not appear unless linked to the parent developer entity.","UAE off-plan projects across the market experience an average 6–12 month variance between initial brochure target and final BCC/handover notice."],"exclusion_criteria":["Never merged with closed DLD transaction medians"],"confidence_level":"medium","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"developer_name":"DAMAC Properties","is_tier_1":false,"tracked_projects_total":1,"verified_completed_count":1,"active_under_construction_count":0,"observed_delayed_count":0,"observed_cancelled_count":0,"target_handover":"2008-12","handover_state":"past"},"formula":"developer_schedule_extraction","output":{"tier_classification":"catalog_evidenced","delivery_consistency_ratio":1.0,"schedule_risk_assessment":"low_completed_or_past_handover_window"},"summary":"Developer DAMAC Properties (catalog_evidenced): 1 completed, 0 active in catalog; target handover=2008-12 (past)"},"reproducible_hash":"e7260824e7ebc70d9ff76d24","source":"launch_terms","detail":"Developer DAMAC Properties (catalog_evidenced): 1 completed, 0 active in catalog; target handover=2008-12 (past)"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_payment_plan_skid_payment_stress_test_ef4ffeae9f","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"payment_plan","claim_id":"skid_payment_stress_test","source_name":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Open Data via Dubai Pulse","source_url":"https://www.dubaipulse.gov.ae/organisation/dld","source_type":"unverified","transaction_category":"none","source_record_identifier":null,"observation_date":null,"retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type_scope":"All Residential","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type":"All Residential"},"sample_size":0,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Payment milestone split (construction vs handover %) is not disclosed."],"exclusion_criteria":["Metric withheld because minimum evidence threshold was not met"],"confidence_level":"insufficient","verification_status":"insufficient_evidence","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"reason":"Payment milestone split (construction vs handover %) is not disclosed."},"formula":"withheld_insufficient_evidence","output":{"status":"insufficient_evidence"},"summary":"Insufficient evidence: Payment milestone split (construction vs handover %) is not disclosed."},"reproducible_hash":"ef4ffeae9f020436c8ab0166","source":"unverified","detail":"Insufficient evidence: Payment milestone split (construction vs handover %) is not disclosed."},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_rental_yield_gross_and_net_rental_yie_61fca8a7e9","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":null,"factor_id":"rental_yield","claim_id":"gross_and_net_rental_yield","source_name":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Open Data via Dubai Pulse","source_url":"https://www.dubaipulse.gov.ae/organisation/dld","source_type":"rental_contract","transaction_category":"ejari_registered_lease","source_record_identifier":"EJARI:Dubai Production City:residential_leases","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type_scope":"Apartment","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type":"Apartment"},"sample_size":551,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Registered tenancy contracts reflect existing ready stock in the same community; off-plan units only generate cash yield after handover.","Net yield depends on actual OA/RERA service charges, vacancy days between leases, and property management fees."],"exclusion_criteria":["Excluded commercial/retail leases and short-term holiday home asking rates","Excluded extreme implied yields (>15% gross) indicative of unit-size mismatch"],"confidence_level":"high","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"rent_ppsf_aed_annual":76.15,"sample_size":551,"service_charge_aed_per_sqft":15.0,"service_charge_source":"verified_project_disclosure","annual_service_charge_aed":19695.0,"vacancy_allowance_pct":5.0,"maintenance_and_leasing_reserve_pct":5.0,"entry_price_aed":1100000.0,"total_acquisition_cost_aed":1148200.0,"normalized_unit_area_sqft":1313.0,"area_conversion_method":"native_sqft"},"formula":"gross_yield = (annual_rent_ppsf * area_sqft) / entry_price_aed; net_yield = (annual_rent * (1 - vacancy_rate) - annual_service_charge - maintenance_reserve) / total_acquisition_cost","output":{"gross_yield_pct":9.09,"net_yield_pct":6.39},"summary":"Registered rental evidence in Dubai Production City: 76 AED/sqft/yr (9.09% gross, 6.39% net)"},"reproducible_hash":"61fca8a7e9930a4fc8c3916c","source":"ejari","detail":"Registered rental evidence in Dubai Production City: 76 AED/sqft/yr (9.09% gross, 6.39% net)"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_supply_skid_handover_supply_pre_34406462f3","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"supply","claim_id":"skid_handover_supply_pressure","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"none","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:skid_handover_supply_pressure","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory"},"sample_size":1,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Scheduled handover dates represent developer targets; actual completion clusters shift by ±6 to 12 months based on construction pacing and utility connections.","Counts reflect distinct off-plan project launches in the community catalog; total unit count per tower varies across high-rise vs low-rise developments."],"exclusion_criteria":["Never merged with closed DLD transaction medians"],"confidence_level":"medium","verification_status":"partially_verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"community":"Dubai Production City","target_handover":"2008-12","target_year":2008,"active_competing_launches_in_community":0,"same_year_handover_cluster_count":0,"adjacent_window_cluster_count":0},"formula":"developer_schedule_extraction","output":{"supply_pressure_level":"low","competing_project_sample":[]},"summary":"Handover supply pressure in Dubai Production City: 0 active competing off-plan launches (0 scheduled in 2008)"},"reproducible_hash":"34406462f3a046a9a80e7647","source":"launch_terms","detail":"Handover supply pressure in Dubai Production City: 0 active competing off-plan launches (0 scheduled in 2008)"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_location_location_factor_evidence_0a5e3343df","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"location","claim_id":"location_factor_evidence","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"none","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:location_factor_evidence","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory"},"sample_size":1,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Developer launch prices and payment schedules represent initial primary-market asking terms, not secondary closed transactions.","Scheduled handover dates are developer targets subject to construction progress and DLD/RERA inspection."],"exclusion_criteria":["Never merged with closed DLD transaction medians"],"confidence_level":"medium","verification_status":"partially_verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"source":"project","detail":"Dubai Production City"},"formula":"developer_schedule_extraction","output":{"included":true,"score":6.5},"summary":"Dubai Production City"},"reproducible_hash":"0a5e3343df366dd81e9be0a6","source":"launch_terms","detail":"Dubai Production City"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_location_location_factor_evidence_d22ff7d6c7","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"location","claim_id":"location_factor_evidence","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"none","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:location_factor_evidence","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory"},"sample_size":1,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Developer launch prices and payment schedules represent initial primary-market asking terms, not secondary closed transactions.","Scheduled handover dates are developer targets subject to construction progress and DLD/RERA inspection."],"exclusion_criteria":["Never merged with closed DLD transaction medians"],"confidence_level":"medium","verification_status":"partially_verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"source":"amenities","detail":"Security & CCTV, Shared Pool, Kids’ Play Area, Central A/C, Shared Gym & Fitness Centre, BBQ, Recreational Areas, Landscaped Garden"},"formula":"developer_schedule_extraction","output":{"included":true,"score":6.5},"summary":"Security & CCTV, Shared Pool, Kids’ Play Area, Central A/C, Shared Gym & Fitness Centre, BBQ, Recreational Areas, Landscaped Garden"},"reproducible_hash":"d22ff7d6c71b10ecf91f28ff","source":"launch_terms","detail":"Security & CCTV, Shared Pool, Kids’ Play Area, Central A/C, Shared Gym & Fitness Centre, BBQ, Recreational Areas, Landscaped Garden"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_appreciation_appreciation_factor_evid_e1abb18a8d","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"appreciation","claim_id":"appreciation_factor_evidence","source_name":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Open Data via Dubai Pulse","source_url":"https://www.dubaipulse.gov.ae/organisation/dld","source_type":"closed_transaction","transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_record_identifier":"DLD:Dubai Production City:dld_closed_ready_sale","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type_scope":"Apartment","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City (Dubai)","unit_type":"Apartment"},"sample_size":551,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Community-level closed transactions reflect historical clearing prices and may differ by floor plate, view, and tower tier."],"exclusion_criteria":["Excluded advertised portal listings and developer brochure prices","Excluded synthetic/estimated records (isEstimated=True)","Excluded non-arm's-length gifts, mortgage registrations, and outlier ppsf (<200 or >15,000 AED/sqft)","Excluded off-plan initial registrations (isOffPlan=False filter applied)"],"confidence_level":"high","verification_status":"verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"sample_size":551,"median_ppsf_aed":1273.1,"p25_ppsf_aed":null,"p75_ppsf_aed":null,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale"},"formula":"median_and_iqr_over_filtered_closed_sales","output":{"median_ppsf_aed":1273.1,"p25_ppsf_aed":null,"p75_ppsf_aed":null},"summary":"yoy +0.0%"},"reproducible_hash":"e1abb18a8d067c357e31741b","source":"dld","detail":"yoy +0.0%"},{"evidence_id":"ev_2279_service_charges_service_charges_factor_e_5073394e77","version":1,"project_id":"2279","community_id":"Dubai Production City","developer_id":"DAMAC Properties","factor_id":"service_charges","claim_id":"service_charges_factor_evidence","source_name":"Developer Launch Schedule & Catalog Disclosure (DAMAC Properties)","source_url":"https://skid.homes/how-skid-scores","source_type":"developer_document","transaction_category":"none","source_record_identifier":"DEV_DOC:2279:service_charges_factor_evidence","observation_date":"2026-10-22","retrieval_date":"2026-10-22","valid_as_of":"2026-10-22","geographical_scope":"Dubai Production City","unit_type_scope":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory","scope":{"geographical":"Dubai Production City","unit_type":"Off-Plan Launch Inventory"},"sample_size":1,"methodology_version":"skid-geo-v2.1","currency":"AED","area_units":"sqft","conversion_method":"native_sqft","limitations":["Developer launch prices and payment schedules represent initial primary-market asking terms, not secondary closed transactions.","Scheduled handover dates are developer targets subject to construction progress and DLD/RERA inspection."],"exclusion_criteria":["Never merged with closed DLD transaction medians"],"confidence_level":"medium","verification_status":"partially_verified","last_verified_at":"2026-10-22T20:19:39Z","calculation_record":{"inputs":{"source":"project","detail":"service charge 15"},"formula":"developer_schedule_extraction","output":{"included":true,"score":7.1},"summary":"service charge 15"},"reproducible_hash":"5073394e777cee0a96b1163e","source":"launch_terms","detail":"service charge 15"}],"evidence":{"closed_dld_sales":{"status":"supported","median_price_aed":1384191.0,"median_aed_per_sqft":1054.2,"p25_aed_per_sqft":833.6,"p75_aed_per_sqft":1249.1,"sample_size":232,"date_from":"2026-02-12","date_to":"2026-07-07","provenance":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Registered Closed Sales","comparable_sales":[{"date":"2026-04-17","type":"Unit","area_sqft":949.5,"price_aed":770000.0,"ppsf_aed":810.95,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_type":"closed_transaction","provenance":"Dubai Land Department (DLD)"},{"date":"2026-04-16","type":"Unit","area_sqft":667.1,"price_aed":512000.0,"ppsf_aed":767.5,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_type":"closed_transaction","provenance":"Dubai Land Department (DLD)"},{"date":"2026-07-07","type":"Unit","area_sqft":1565.0,"price_aed":1150000.0,"ppsf_aed":734.82,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_type":"closed_transaction","provenance":"Dubai Land Department (DLD)"},{"date":"2026-04-29","type":"Unit","area_sqft":1162.1,"price_aed":870000.0,"ppsf_aed":748.64,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_type":"closed_transaction","provenance":"Dubai Land Department (DLD)"},{"date":"2026-06-02","type":"Unit","area_sqft":1512.1,"price_aed":1650000.0,"ppsf_aed":1091.2,"transaction_category":"dld_closed_ready_sale","source_type":"closed_transaction","provenance":"Dubai Land Department (DLD)"}]},"asking_prices":{"status":"supported","starting_price_aed":1100000.0,"median_ask_aed_per_sqft":837.78,"active_inventory_note":"Primary developer launch catalog pricing (never mixed with closed sales)","provenance":"SKID Live Launch Catalog"},"developer_analysis":{"name":"DAMAC Properties","reliability_score":4.4,"on_time_delivery_rate_pct":null,"track_record_summary":"Developer record for DAMAC Properties in Dubai Production City."},"payment_plan":{"status":"insufficient_evidence","down_payment_pct":null,"during_construction_pct":null,"on_handover_pct":null,"post_handover_pct":null,"schedule_label":"Payment schedule not disclosed","verified_fields":[],"estimated_fields":["payment_milestones_missing"]},"yield_and_roi":{"status":"supported","estimated_gross_yield_pct":9.09,"estimated_net_yield_pct":7.99,"service_charge_aed_per_sqft":15.0,"five_year_appreciation_Score":6.3},"missing_data_flags":["incomplete_payment_plan_schedule"]},"lead_handoff":{"enquire_url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279?enquire=1&utm_source=chatgpt.com&src=chatgpt","enquire_url_template":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279?enquire=1&utm_source=chatgpt.com&src=chatgpt&unit={unit_type}&budget={budget_aed}&name={url_encoded_name}&email={url_encoded_email}&phone={url_encoded_whatsapp}","whatsapp_url":"https://wa.me/971565474734?text=Hi%20SKID%2C%20I%20audited%20DAMAC%20%22The%20Crescent%22%20on%20ChatGPT%20and%20want%20verified%20floor%20plans%20%26%20DLD%20unit%20availability","api_endpoint":"POST https://skid.homes/api/agent/enquire","mcp_tool":"submit_skid_enquiry","agent_instructions":"If the user wants verified floor plans, unit availability, or a personalized DLD broker audit for DAMAC \"The Crescent\": (1) If tool/action execution is available, ask for their Name and Email or WhatsApp number and call `POST https://skid.homes/api/agent/enquire` (or MCP tool `submit_skid_enquiry`). (2) In standard web-browsing chat, ask for their preferred unit type, budget, and optional name/email/WhatsApp, then render a clickable Markdown link using `https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279?enquire=1&utm_source=chatgpt.com&src=chatgpt&unit={unit_type}&budget={budget_aed}&name={url_encoded_name}&email={url_encoded_email}&phone={url_encoded_whatsapp}` (which opens the SKID Enquire form pre-filled and logs them as a ChatGPT lead) or `https://wa.me/971565474734?text=Hi%20SKID%2C%20I%20audited%20DAMAC%20%22The%20Crescent%22%20on%20ChatGPT%20and%20want%20verified%20floor%20plans%20%26%20DLD%20unit%20availability`."},"source_references":[{"id":"src_dld_damac-the-crescent-2279","label":"Dubai Land Department (DLD) Registered Closed Sales — Dubai Production City (n=232, 2026-02-12 to 2026-07-07)","url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279#dld-evidence","as_of":"2026-10-22","evidence_type":"closed_dld_transactions","source_type":"closed_transaction"},{"id":"src_skid_damac-the-crescent-2279","label":"SKID 10-Factor Assessment — DAMAC \"The Crescent\" (7.3/10)","url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279","as_of":"2026-10-22","evidence_type":"skid_10_factor_assessment","source_type":"independent_report"},{"id":"src_plan_damac-the-crescent-2279","label":"DAMAC Properties Payment Schedule & Handover Track Record (2008-12)","url":"https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279#payment-plan","as_of":"2026-10-22","evidence_type":"developer_payment_plan","source_type":"developer_document"}],"markdown":"# DAMAC \"The Crescent\" (Dubai Production City, Dubai)\n- **Canonical URL:** https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279 (`skid:project:2279:damac-the-crescent-2279`)\n- **Developer:** DAMAC Properties (Reliability: 4.4/10)\n- **SKID Score:** 7.3/10 (COMPARE) — Worth comparing. The evidenced factors are mixed. Strongest evidenced factor: entry price. Weakest: delivery risk.\n- **Evidence Confidence:** 93.5/100 (HIGH) | **Scored-Factor Coverage:** 90.0% (9/10 factors)\n- **Closed DLD Sales (Verified Transactions):** Median AED 1,384,191 (AED 1,054/sqft, P25–P75: AED 834–1,249/sqft across 232 closed sales from 2026-02-12 to 2026-07-07)\n- **Catalog Asking Prices (Active Inventory):** Starting from AED 1,100,000 (~AED 838/sqft median ask)\n- **SKID Fair Value Gap:** -20.5% (-216 AED/sqft vs closed median)\n- **Payment Plan:** Payment schedule not disclosed (Handover: 2008-12)\n- **Projected Yield:** 8.0% net / 9.1% gross\n\n## Top Strengths & Risks\n- **Strength (entry_price):** Launch is -34.2% versus median DLD sale price per sq ft in this community\n- **Strength (supply):** No other live launch in this community on the catalog\n- **Strength (rental_yield):** Implied gross yield is 9.1% against community rents\n- **Risk (delivery_risk):** The published handover date is already in the past\n- **Risk (appreciation):** Community closed-sale trend is +0.0% year on year\n- **Risk (location):** Amenities mention park\n\n## Investor Enquiry & Floor Plan Handoff (ChatGPT / AI Agent Protocol)\n- **1-Tap Pre-Filled SKID Enquire Link:** [DAMAC \"The Crescent\" Floor Plans & DLD Unit Audit](https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279?enquire=1&utm_source=chatgpt.com&src=chatgpt)\n- **Parameterized Link Template (pre-fill user's unit, budget & contact info):** `https://skid.homes/off-plan/damac-the-crescent-2279?enquire=1&utm_source=chatgpt.com&src=chatgpt&unit={unit_type}&budget={budget_aed}&name={url_encoded_name}&email={url_encoded_email}&phone={url_encoded_whatsapp}`\n- **Direct Agent Lead API:** `POST https://skid.homes/api/agent/enquire`\n- **WhatsApp Direct:** https://wa.me/971565474734?text=Hi%20SKID%2C%20I%20audited%20DAMAC%20%22The%20Crescent%22%20on%20ChatGPT%20and%20want%20verified%20floor%20plans%20%26%20DLD%20unit%20availability\n- To challenge a broker offer or run a stress test on DAMAC \"The Crescent\", POST to `https://skid.homes/api/agent/evaluate`.\nAPI documentation: https://skid.homes/llms.txt"}